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  • China’s GDP target is becoming a constraint on better economic policy

    China’s latest economic support package exposes a growing tension between meeting official growth ambitions and improving the economy people actually experience. Subsidized lending and targeted assistance may help Beijing reach its 2026 expansion goal of 4.5% to 5%, while leaving households cautious, property developers struggling and businesses reluctant to invest.

    That gap gives weight to the argument for abandoning annual GDP targets. Yet changing the benchmark would accomplish little unless it also changed spending priorities, incentives for officials and the government’s willingness to address persistent weaknesses in domestic demand.

    October 7, 2026
  • Blue Energy is testing whether data centres can make SMRs bankable

    Blue Energy’s application to connect small modular reactors (SMRs) to the Texas grid marks a concrete step toward supplying data centres with new nuclear generation. It brings a proposed reactor fleet into Electric Reliability Council of Texas’ (ERCOT) planning process, where its interaction with the wider electricity system can be assessed.

    The application does not establish that the plant will be built, but it moves the project beyond a general expression of interest. Its broader significance lies in the attempt to combine the urgency of AI infrastructure development with the much longer process of financing, licensing and constructing nuclear power.

    October 7, 2026
  • China’s zinc exports are masking a deeper Western smelting problem

    China’s growing zinc exports are easing an immediate shortage of deliverable metal while exposing a deeper imbalance in the global processing industry. Chinese smelters have increased output despite subdued domestic demand, creating supplies that can move abroad when international prices justify the cost.

    Western producers, meanwhile, are struggling with expensive electricity and weak processing margins. The resulting trade offers relief to buyers and traders, but also raises questions about whether industrial economies can preserve their own refining capacity while relying on Chinese production to fill recurring gaps.

    October 7, 2026
  • Renewables are absorbing more of U.S. incremental electricity demand

    The US power system’s summer performance shows that rising electricity demand does not inevitably require a similar increase in fossil-fuel generation. The figures presented for Texas and PJM indicate that expanding clean-power output absorbed much of the additional consumption, limiting growth in coal and gas use.

    This matters as utilities prepare for more data centres, industrial investment and electrification. It demonstrates a practical route to serving a growing economy with less dependence on additional fuel combustion, although seasonal generation totals cannot establish how reliably each resource performed during the most difficult individual hours.

    October 7, 2026
  • China’s teapot refiners are paying more just to keep running

    China’s independent refiners are replacing part of their discounted Iranian crude supply with more expensive barrels from Iraq and Qatar, exposing the financial weakness of a business model built around cheap feedstock. Recovering exports from other Gulf producers have made alternatives available, but availability has not restored profitability.

    Refiners are paying substantial delivered premiums while facing limits on how much of the increase they can pass through to domestic fuel buyers. The result is a market in which additional crude purchases coexist with falling refinery utilisation.

    October 7, 2026
  • DR Congo is turning geological data into a tool of resource sovereignty

    Congo’s new airborne mapping programme seeks to strengthen the state’s position at the earliest stage of mining development: determining where commercially valuable deposits might exist. The country already occupies a central place in global cobalt and copper supply, yet much of its territory remains poorly understood geologically.

    Better information could attract exploration into new regions while helping public authorities assess opportunities independently. The programme’s significance therefore extends beyond finding minerals. It could influence who identifies future deposits, how exploration rights are allocated and how effectively Congo negotiates their development.

    October 7, 2026
  • Europe’s methane delay shows energy security reshaping climate policy

    The European Commission’s proposed one-year postponement of methane requirements for imported fuels reflects the growing pressure to reconcile climate policy with immediate energy security. With the Iran war disrupting supplies, Brussels wants to reduce the risk that uncertainty over compliance discourages deliveries to Europe.

    Energy Commissioner Dan Jorgensen is nevertheless resisting demands for a three-year reprieve. His position seeks to preserve the regulation’s direction while giving suppliers, importers and national authorities additional preparation time. Whether that compromise succeeds will depend on how the extra year is used and whether companies believe the revised deadline will hold.

    October 7, 2026
  • Iran War is turning spare pipeline capacity into strategic value

    The Iran war is changing how energy companies assess the value of export infrastructure. Producing oil at a competitive cost offers limited protection when pipelines, ports or shipping lanes cannot reliably deliver it to customers. Attacks around Hormuz and the Red Sea have exposed the economic consequences of concentrating large volumes along a small number of routes.

    Oil executives are consequently placing greater value on spare capacity and alternative corridors, even when those assets might appear expensive or underused during normal trading conditions. Patrick Pouyanne’s proposed shift from just-in-time to just-in-case supply chains captures that reassessment.

    October 7, 2026

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