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The EU’s Philippines deal could reshape Southeast Asian manufacturing
The preliminary trade agreement between the European Union and the Philippines advances Europe’s effort to broaden its commercial relationships as US tariffs make access to the American market less predictable. For Manila, it offers the prospect of stronger export access and closer investment ties with a major economic partner.
Its significance extends beyond tariff reductions: a completed agreement could influence where companies manufacture, source components and commit capital across Southeast Asia. The announcement marks a political breakthrough, with important work still outstanding. Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič said the principal terms have received political approval and must now be converted into legal provisions.
September 22, 2026 -
Copper’s rally reveals a market tightening in the wrong places
Copper’s renewed approach to record prices reflects a tightening market for immediately available metal, amplified by the redistribution of supplies toward the United States. Falling inventories in Shanghai and buying ahead of Chinese holidays are supporting prices even as interest-rate uncertainty weighs on the broader economic outlook.
The combination suggests that copper’s strength is being driven partly by where material is available and when buyers need it, alongside underlying industrial consumption. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.7% to $14,763 a tonne in the reported trading session, extending its advance to six days and bringing it within 1% of the September 10 record of $14,875.
September 22, 2026 -
Indonesia’s nickel boom is running into a water security problem
The drought at Indonesia’s Morowali Industrial Park is exposing a vulnerability in the country’s nickel expansion: large processing capacity depends on reliable water supplies as well as ore, energy and investment. Production restrictions at one of the industry’s most important manufacturing centres could support nickel prices after months of weakness.
Their broader significance is that a local environmental constraint can affect international supply when so much processing is concentrated in a few industrial hubs. The park has instructed companies to reduce nickel pig iron production because insufficient water is available to cool and protect equipment.
September 22, 2026 -
War-driven fuel costs could leave lasting dent in oil demand via EVs
The oil shock is strengthening the economic case for electric vehicles, with consequences that could outlast the conflict itself. Higher gasoline and diesel prices make running costs more prominent in purchasing decisions, particularly in countries dependent on imported fuel.
If that change encourages households, businesses and governments to commit to electrification, today’s disruption could weaken future oil demand while increasing investment requirements across batteries, mining and electricity networks. The global sales figures conceal how unevenly this shift is developing.
September 22, 2026 -
LNG buyers realize multiple suppliers do not guarantee supply security
The disruption of Gulf LNG exports is changing how importing countries define a reliable energy supplier. Buyers increasingly want access to several production regions, alternative shipping routes and sellers capable of replacing disrupted cargoes. This shift could redirect investment toward projects in Africa, Southeast Asia and the Americas, giving developments outside the dominant US and Qatari supply centres a stronger commercial argument.
It also exposes a difficult trade-off: greater supply security usually requires additional commitments, flexibility and expense. The vulnerability was substantial before the conflict. Approximately one fifth of global LNG trade passed through the Strait of Hormuz in 2024, predominantly from Qatar, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
September 22, 2026 -
Rare earth scarcity is forcing a rethink of turbine coating technology
The search for alternatives to rare earth turbine coatings shows how geopolitical pressure is beginning to reshape aerospace engineering. Suppliers are revisiting materials developed decades ago because dependable access to modern formulations can no longer be assumed.
The challenge is to preserve engine performance while reducing exposure to a supply chain heavily concentrated in China. That adjustment could take years, leaving manufacturers vulnerable to shortages even as research into substitutes accelerates.
September 22, 2026 -
Global diesel shortage is becoming a long-term economic constraint
The global diesel shortage is becoming a persistent constraint on economic activity, with depleted inventories leaving businesses exposed to expensive fuel well into 2027. Disruption in the Middle East and Russia has reduced the availability of a product essential to moving goods, harvesting crops and operating industrial equipment.
Even if crude oil prices stabilise, diesel could remain costly because restoring supplies requires functioning refineries, reliable export routes and enough surplus production to rebuild stocks. One of the clearest signals comes from the storage business. Diesel tank capacity available for lease across North America and the Caribbean has risen to approximately 13 million barrels for October, compared with 11 million in June.
September 22, 2026 -
Gulf oil trade is recovering through a more expensive shipping system
The expanding tanker shuttle network off Oman is changing the economics of Gulf oil exports. Producers are recovering access to international buyers by dividing deliveries between ships willing to enter the conflict zone and vessels handling the onward voyage.
This arrangement helps sustain supplies, but it also introduces additional costs and dependencies into a trade that previously operated much more directly. The result is an oil market in which improving export volumes can coexist with persistent pressure on consumers and declining returns for producers.
September 22, 2026
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